Sea surface Temperature in the Physical Mechanism of the Interannual Variability of Precipitation in the Saint Louis Region in the Context of Climate Change
Article Main Content
The Saint-Louis Region runs along the Senegal River on the Mauritanian border, an interface region between the dry Sahelian and hot and dry Saharan climates. It is one of the regions of Senegal located in the northwest of this country. Its total population is nearly one million inhabitants living mainly from the resources of the river, and from agriculture.
To understand the interannual variability of precipitation in this buffer region between the Sahel and the Sahara, more particularly in the region of Saint Louis, we have studied the meteorological parameters involved in the establishment of precipitation.
This region is located in the extreme north of Senegal between 12 ° 62-16 ° 52 west longitude and 14 ° 4-16 ° 67 north latitude. On its western facade, it is bounded by the Atlantic Ocean.
It has a strong agricultural vocation because of its significant water and land potential. Indeed, the Senegal River flows into the Atlantic at Saint Louis, it has source in Guinea. Its regime is very irregular and depends entirely on monsoon rains.
However, rain is the most important factor in the climate and is one of the main sources of water for the river in this climatic zone. It is characterized by its insufficiency, its irregularity, and significant inter-annual differences.
The influence of the nearby ocean appears to play an important role in climate activity in this region.
Using the monsoon depth and height from meridian and zonal winds, we have established the correlations between monsoon rains and Sea Surface Temperature (SST). From these parameters, we were able to predict the rainfall breaks in this region of Senegal.
References
-
Alioune Kane 2005: Vulnérabilité et ses consequences sur l’écoulement du fleuve sénégal. Regional Hydrological Impact of Climate change-Hydroclimatological Variability (Proceeding of symposium S6 held during the seventh IAHS Scientifique Assembly, Brazil
Google Scholar
1
-
Luc Descroix, Aïda Diongue Niang, Gérémy Panthou, Ansoumana Bodian, Youssouph Sane, Honoré Dacosta, Moussa Malam Abdou, Jean-Pierre Vandervaere et Guillaume Quantin «Évolution récente de la pluviométrie en Afrique de l’ouest à travers deux régions: la Sénégambie et le Bassin du Niger Moyen», Climatologie [En ligne], mis à jour le: 24/03/2016, URL:http://lodel.irevues.inist.fr/climatologie/index.php?id=1105, https://doi.org/10.4267/climatologie.1105
Google Scholar
2
-
Peyrillé, P., 2006: Etude Idéalisé de la Mousson Ouest Africaine à Partir d’un Modèle Numérique Bi-Dimentionnel. Thèse de Doctorat, Université Toulouse III.
Google Scholar
3
-
Biljana Music and Daniel Caya : 2008 ,evaluation of the hydrological cycle over the mississippi river basin as simulated by the canadian regional climate model (crcm) i J. Hydrometeor. , 8(5), 969-988. DOI: 10.1175/JHM627.1. a
Google Scholar
4
-
Berges J.C. (1), beltrando G. (2), Cacault P. ;2015 (3) vers une procédure de réanalyse des données de satellites géostationnaires pour le suivi de la convection profonde, xxviiie colloque de l’association internationale de climatologie, liège 2015
Google Scholar
5
-
Ali A et Lebel T., 2009. Recent trends in the Central and Western Sahel rainfall regime (1990–2007). J. Hydrol., doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.11.030 xxx-xxx
Google Scholar
6
-
Bodian A., 2014: Caractérisation de la variabilité temporelle récente des précipitations annuelles au Sénégal (Afrique de l'Ouest). Physio-Géo [En ligne], Volume 8: 297-312 | 2014, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.4000/physio-geo.4243. [8] Nicholson, S. 2000. Land surface processes and Sahel climate. Rev. Geophys, 38, 117-139.
Google Scholar
7
-
Fontaine B. & Bigot S., 1993: West African rainfall deficits and sea-surface temperatures. Int. J. Climatology, 13, 271-285.
Google Scholar
8
-
Mathieu Joly. Le rôle des océans dans la variabilité climatique de la mousson africaine. Sciences de la Terre. Université Paris-Est, 2008. Français. < NNT: 2008PEST0264 >.
Google Scholar
9
-
Bah, A., 1987. «Towards the prediction of Sahelian rainfall from sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Guinea ». Tellus, 39A: 39-48.
Google Scholar
10
-
Janicot, S., 1992. «Spatio-temporal variabi1ity of West African rainfall. Part II: Associated surface and airmass characteristics». J. Climate, 5: 499-511.
Google Scholar
11
-
Sultan B. et S. Janicot, 2003: The West African monsoon dynamics. Part II: The pre-onset and the onset of the summer monsoon. J. Climate, 16, 3407-3427.
Google Scholar
12
-
Xie, S.P., and J.A. Carton, 2004: Tropical Atlantic Variability: Patterns, Mechanisms, and Impacts. In Earth climate: The Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction, C. Wang, S.P.Xie, and J.A. Carton (eds.), Geophys. Monograph, 147, AGU, Washington D.C., 121-142.
Google Scholar
13
-
Saha K. R. et Saha S., 2001: African monsoons. Part 1: Climatological structure and circulation. Mausam, 52, 479-510.
Google Scholar
14
-
Fontaine B. Variations pluviométriques et connexions climatiques: l'exemple des aires de mousson indienne et ouest africaine. Sécheresse 1991; 2:259-64.
Google Scholar
15